Germany's aggregated gas storage is at 28.6% (16. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 31.6% (P10–P90 range 27.0% to 36.6%). The winter-minimum projection is 19.2% (P10 0.0%, P90 47.3%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is 47.6%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.