Germany's aggregated gas storage is at 42.9% (10. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 47.2% (P10–P90 range 43.5% to 50.0%). The winter-minimum projection is 24.1% (P10 0.0%, P90 43.6%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is 47.6%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.