Germany's aggregated gas storage is at 28.5% (18. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 32.0% (P10–P90 range 27.7% to 35.3%). The winter-minimum projection is 20.3% (P10 0.0%, P90 48.8%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is 47.6%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.