Germany 365-day annual gas storage outlook

Probabilistic 365-day fan chart and winter-minimum projection for Germany, generated by a recency-weighted seasonal block bootstrap over historical gas-year trajectories. Winter minimum P50 is 21.5% (P10 0.0%, P90 45.0%). Modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold is 47.6%; below the 10% emergency threshold 26.8%. The Scenario Lab below lets analysts inject custom supply, demand, or temperature shocks and inspect the impact on the full quantile bands.