France 365-day annual gas storage outlook

Probabilistic 365-day fan chart and winter-minimum projection for France, generated by a recency-weighted seasonal block bootstrap over historical gas-year trajectories. Winter minimum P50 is 13.9% (P10 3.5%, P90 29.9%). Modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold is 53.4%; below the 10% emergency threshold 47.8%. The Scenario Lab below lets analysts inject custom supply, demand, or temperature shocks and inspect the impact on the full quantile bands.