Czech Republic's aggregated gas storage is at 58.8% (18. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 55.4% (P10–P90 range 50.5% to 61.4%). The winter-minimum projection is 13.2% (P10 4.7%, P90 34.5%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is 57.3%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.