France's aggregated gas storage is at 75.0% (0. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 79.3% (P10–P90 range 75.0% to 83.3%). The winter-minimum projection is 8.3% (P10 0.0%, P90 21.9%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is 72.0%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.