Italy gas storage today — 89.8% (22 October 2026)
Checked, not claimed.Every forecast we publish is scored against what actually happened, misses included.
In brief
On gas day 22 October 2026, gas storage in Italy was 89.8% full (183 of 203 TWh). Provisional AGSI+ value. That is slightly below normal for late October. Across the EU, storage was 74.6% full on the same gas day. The 14-day forecast expects about 89% on 5 November 2026, with an 80% range of 82% to 93%. The probability of storage being below the 15% alarm level on forecast day 14 is below 1%. This is a model extrapolation: storage has not been near that level in the reference data.
What is driving it
Supply and flowsQuestions and answers
- What is a gas day?
- The gas industry's day runs from 06:00 to 06:00 German time (CET in winter, CEST in summer). Storage and flow figures refer to that day, not to the calendar day, and storage operators publish them on GIE AGSI+ the following evening.
- What does the 80% range mean?
- It is the band between the 10th and 90th percentile (P10–P90) of the model's simulated paths: eight out of ten outcomes should fall inside it. Whether they do is checked every day on the track record page.
- Why is 15% the alarm level?
- It is not a legal trigger: EU Regulation 2017/1938 and § 53a EnWG set no fill-level numbers. The 15% line follows Bundesnetzagentur communications from 2022/23 and industry practice, and below it reservoir pressure and withdrawal rates fall. The probability shown is the share of 2,000 simulated paths that end below 15% on forecast day 14.
- What is the usual range for the time of year?
- The band between the 10th and 90th percentile of the fill level on the same calendar day over the last five complete years. "Below the usual range" means lower than in almost all of those years; "the lowest" means lower than in every one of them.