Poland's aggregated gas storage is at 83.3% (52. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 81.8% (P10–P90 range 77.9% to 85.3%). The winter-minimum projection is 41.3% (P10 33.4%, P90 52.7%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is <0.5%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.