Poland's aggregated gas storage is at 60.7% (71. percentile vs. the same calendar day across history). The 14-day ARIMAX forecast P50 ends at 68.0% (P10–P90 range 64.3% to 71.9%). The winter-minimum projection is 43.3% (P10 13.4%, P90 49.9%); the modelled probability of breaching the 15% critical threshold this winter is 11.4%. Latest available model snapshot from AGSI+, ENTSO-G, SMARD, TTF and Open-Meteo.